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中国稀土市场周报(09月07日-09月11日)

2020/9/16 15:59:02?????点击:

一、挂牌价

1、北方稀土集团挂牌价

表一 中国北方稀土高科技术股份有限公司每月挂牌价格

数据来源:北方稀土

2、南方稀土集团挂牌价

表二 中国南方稀土2020年中重稀土氧化物挂牌价

数据来源:南方稀土

二、稀土市场

1、中国稀土市场评述

本周镨钕降中有稳,镝、铽、钬、钆不同程度回调。

This week, praseodymium and neodymium have stabilized in the decline, and dysprosium, terbium, holmium, and gadolinium have recovered to varying degrees.

2、市场报价

表三 2020年09月07日-09月11日主流稀土产品报价(万元/吨)

数据来源:我的有色

3、市场成交

表四 2020年09月07日-09月11日主流稀土产品成交一览(万元/吨)

数据来源:我的有色

三、市场分析

轻稀土方面:

本周镨钕市场整体降中有稳,现货随下游成交犹豫,压价明显小幅回调,其中氧化镨钕供应回吐不大,逢低成交支撑市场并未大幅震荡,本周氧化镨钕主要成交由33.8万元/吨回调至33.3万元/吨,跌幅1.5%,随市成交使得分离厂现货累库显现依旧未形成,多数企业仍在交付订单,中间环节库存延续上周降库趋势,供应压力对市场走势连续增长仍不大,镨钕金属方面,大厂订单逐步排产至十月中下旬,现货以及短期货报价43.5-44.0万元/吨仍显坚挺,43.5以内老客户少量成交,现款市场方面,工厂价格由42.8-43.0万元/吨逐步回调至41.8-42.2万元/吨,41.5以内极少中间环节变现成交,市场对现货逢低采购需求仍存,整体采购度不集中,下游采购情绪在价格回调过程修复调整,库存以下降为主。目前磁材下游客户询价较活跃,采购整体偏犹豫,询低少量分批刚需下单消耗库存为主,观望金属价格走稳趋势,国庆节前接单补库需求尚存,综合看来,在氧化物供应整体相对处于平衡状态,随磁材下游客户降库观望积累采购需求,氧化镨钕供应对市场支撑仍存,预计下周随镨钕价格逐步回调至部分下游心理预期,购销博弈,成交量或有所增加。

This week, the neodymium praseodymium market remained stable. The spot price was hesitated with downstream transactions, and the price was significantly reduced. Among them, the supply of neodymium praseodymium oxide did not take a lot, and the market did not fluctuate significantly due to bargain-hunting transactions. The main transactions of neodymium praseodymium oxide this week increased from 338,000. Yuan/ton adjusted back to 333,000 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.5%. With the market transactions, the spot inventory of the separation plant has not yet formed. Most companies are still delivering orders. The intermediate link inventory continues the trend of last week's decline in inventory. Supply pressure is on the market. The trend of continuous growth is still not large. In terms of praseodymium and neodymium metals, orders from major manufacturers are gradually scheduled to mid-to-late October. The quotations of spot and short futures of 435-440 thousand yuan/ton are still strong, and old customers within 43.5 have small transactions. In terms of cash market , The factory price gradually adjusted back from 428,000-43.0 million yuan/ton to 418,000-42.2 million yuan/ton. Very few intermediate links realized transactions within 41.5. The market still has demand for spot bargain purchases, and the overall purchase is not concentrated, and downstream purchase sentiment In the process of price correction, the inventory is mainly reduced. At present, the downstream customers of magnetic materials are more active in inquiries, and the overall purchase is hesitant. Inquiries are low and batches are only needed to place orders to consume inventory. Wait and see the trend of metal prices to stabilize. The demand for order replenishment before National Day still exists. In general, The overall supply of oxides is relatively in a balanced state. As downstream customers of magnetic materials lower their inventory and wait and see, they accumulate purchasing demand. The supply of praseodymium and neodymium oxide still supports the market. It is expected that next week, the price of praseodymium and neodymium will gradually pull back to some downstream psychological expectations, a game of purchase and sales. Volume may increase.

中重稀土方面:

本周中重稀土主要产品整体报价弱稳运行,分离企业报价较少,整体显观望。持货商少量货源报价居多,市场询盘偏淡,整体成交未及预期。部分持货商受市场情绪影响或现金流压力少量货源试探性报货让利变现。截至周五,氧化镝现款成交区间169-171万元/吨,170及以上金属厂采采购意愿不高,168-169极少货源中间商出货,冶炼厂镝铁报价169-172万元/吨,成交偏少;氧化铽厂家持货惜售观望,中间商报货为主,市场询盘活跃度一般,中间商含税报价485万元/吨,成交482-488万元/吨,485以内中间商让利变现货源有限,485以上集团对应成交,市场整体流通量少,氧化铽实际需求存在,再加上收储预期,市场整体仍看好后市,金属铽报价贴合实际成交小幅调整,部分冶炼厂报价仍显坚挺,磁材刚需采购,降库为主;市场钆钬询盘偏淡,持货商报货增加,厂家意见分歧,部分现货库存较少报价犹豫,部分随行就市报价出售,氧化钆含税17.5-17.6万元/吨成交,17.6及以上成交承压,钆铁成交对应氧化物持平;氧化钬主流报价下调,金属厂整体询盘仍偏淡,成交较少,金属厂期货交付依旧,现货报价部分随行就市。预计短期没有资金投入情况下,中重稀土主流产品当前弱稳走势延续。

In this week, the overall quotations of the main products of heavy rare earths were weak and stable, and the quotations of separate companies were less, and the overall price was on the sidelines. Holders mostly quoted prices from a small number of sources, market enquiries were weak, and overall transactions fell short of expectations. Some holders are affected by market sentiment or cash flow pressure, and a small amount of supply is tentatively offered to realize profit. As of Friday, the transaction range of dysprosium oxide cash was 1.69-1.71 million yuan/ton. Metal plants of 170 and above were not willing to purchase and purchase. 168-169 very few source intermediaries shipped, and smelter dysprosium iron quoted 1.69-1.72 million yuan/ Tons, the transaction is relatively small; the terbium oxide manufacturers are holding the goods and reluctant to sell the goods, and the intermediaries mainly report the goods. The market inquiries are generally active. The intermediaries quoted at 4.85 million yuan/ton, and the transaction was 4.82-4.8 million yuan/ton, within 485 Intermediaries let profit change the spot source is limited. Groups above 485 correspond to transactions. The overall market circulation is small. The actual demand for terbium oxide exists. Coupled with the expectation of purchasing and storage, the market is still optimistic about the market outlook. The quotation of terbium metal is slightly adjusted to match the actual transaction. Factory quotations are still strong, magnetic materials just need to be purchased, mainly for lowering the warehouse; market gadolinium and holmium inquiries are weak, holders have increased their orders, manufacturers have different opinions, some spot stocks are less quoting, and some are sold at market quotations. Gadolinium oxide The transaction price was 175 to 176 million yuan per ton including tax, and transactions of 17.6 and above were under pressure, and the transactions of gadolinium iron corresponded to the same oxide; the mainstream quotation of holmium oxide was lowered, the overall inquiry of the metal factory was still weak, the transaction was small, and the delivery of the metal factory futures remained unchanged , The spot quotation part follows the market. It is expected that the current weak and stable trend of mainstream medium and heavy rare earth products will continue without capital investment in the short term.

市场总结:

我的有色网认为:本周镨钕价格回调,氧化物整体回吐不多,市场逢低仍有成交,支撑价格平稳回调,供应延续支撑价格降中有稳和修复市场采购情绪不变,下游降库以及金属大厂报价坚挺积累市场节前补库预期,预计下周镨钕成交量价有所回暖,中重稀土方面,铽价格运行逻辑变化不大,震荡有稳,镝钬价格仍需市场交投活跃度支撑,钆随价格下探逢低采购预期以及资金转头关注或有增加。

This week, the price of neodymium praseodymium has recovered, and the overall oxide is not taking much. There are still transactions on the market dips, supporting the stable price correction, supply continues to support the price decline, and the market purchasing sentiment remains unchanged. Downstream warehouses and large metal manufacturers offer strong prices Accumulation of market pre-holiday replenishment expectations, it is expected that the trading volume and price of praseodymium and neodymium will pick up next week. In terms of medium and heavy rare earths, the logic of terbium price operation has not changed much, and the fluctuation is stable. The price of dysprosium and holmium still needs the support of market trading activity, and gadolinium will follow the price Downward exploration of bargain hunting expectations and capital turning attention may increase.

来源:我的有色网

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